Indonesian economy, with GDP per Capita USD3.000 in 2010


The Annual Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2002 was resolved, the country should achieve gross domestic product (GDP) per capita USD3.000 on 2020.Tekad is repeated again by President Hu Jintao in Hainan Boao Economic Forumdi in 2004.

In the newspaper's Dailydisebutkan onlinePeople, determination arises because the economy is entering USD3.000 per capita GDP will result in faster growth (accelerated development). Example, South Korea's economic growth is very high since reaching that level for 11 tahun.Tahun 2008 dipercepat.China prediction turned out to be able to reach USD3.000 per capita GDP in 2010.10 years sooner than originally targeted.

The Importance of GDP per capita amounted to USD3.000 appear again in discussions between the management of BCA with the management of Sumitomo Mitsubishi Banking Corporation in Jakarta recently ini.Dikatakan, if a country's GDP per capita enters USD3.000, will emerge a new wave (the next wave) in the economy due to rising household products such as televisions, refrigerators, air conditioners, water heaters and so forth, as well as cars, motorcycles, and housing.

In an economy as it will appear many malls as it happens in other advanced countries. Topics that are then taken BCA Learning Service in the seminar to be held on October 6, 2010 in the Ballroom at the Four Seasons. If the Government of China to the planned achievement of these targets in years previous, already we can be sure it really has a great meaning.

Meanwhile, the Indonesian economy is likely to reach USD3.000 per capita this year but I have not heard of any official comment on the matter. In the seminar invited speakers and panelists who will share how the impact of increasing revenues in their businesses.

As Commissioner of Unilever Indonesia, I feel really high level of income that the impact on the company's sales volume and composition. For the Financial Director of Unilever Indonesia's Franklin Gomez Chan was also invited as a speaker at the event tersebut.Adapun impact on the aviation world will be analyzed by one Director of Garuda Indonesia, which Elisa Lumbantoruan. Chairul Tanjung will see the impact of such income level at which he was involved with the business, namely television, banking and retail sectors.

Mahendra Siregar, Deputy Minister of Commerce, will highlight this aspect of the trade in domestic and foreign. When will Indonesia will reach the level of income per capita USD3.000? If you look at nominal GDP semester I/2010, we obtain data Rp3.068, 6 trillion, namely Rp1.496, 2 trillion in the first quarter and Rp1.572, 4 trillion in the second quarter. If converted to dollars (with the dollar exchange rate on average throughout the semester I Rp9.120), obtained by the nominal GDP of USD336 billion.

In the annual pattern of GDP in Indonesia, the third quarter GDP will experience a leap compared to the second quarter, whereas in the fourth quarter will increase, but not as much in the third quarter. With such patterns, can be estimated a nominal GDP for the third quarter will be approximately Rp1.650 trillion, while in the fourth quarter will be approximately Rp1.700 trillion. This means that in the second semester will be obtained Rp3.350 trillion, which if converted into dollars (with an average exchange rate could be under Rp9.000) will be obtained approximately USD372 billion.

This means that throughout 2010 the nominal GDP will be obtained approximately USD708 miliar.Dengan population of 235 million, GDP per capita is likely to reach approximately USD3.000 in this 2010 year. If it has not been reached USD3.000 digits this year, that number has certainly achieved during the semester II/2010 rataratanya that if the calculated yearly by the end of the semester will I/2011.Pada this point that the GDP per capita figures will be reached USD3.000 sungguhsungguh.

During the year 2011 instead of GDP per capita is likely to be on the level above USD3.300.Kapan precisely that point will be reached becomes not important anymore. The important thing is precisely the process of getting there and beyond. With revenues amounting to it, the ability of people to buy cars and motorcycles into towering tinggi.Yang cynical saying, it may be possible due installments.

As is happening in developed countries that have long developed a car loan, it's not a problem. Although the installment plan, they still have the ability to pay installments. It looked very real developments in this 2010. Sales of the car which was originally estimated to reach only 550,000 turned out to be revised upwards to 650 000 units.

Even the latest data available, most probably in 2010 car sales this year will reach a total of more than 700,000 units, 150,000 units higher than the prediction awal.Yang more interesting, with sales like that, Indonesia is finally overtaking Thailand and Malaysia as the country with car sales the largest in ASEAN. Sales are way above the initial forecast of supply shortages that caused the indent for some brands have started to happen.

With the increased capacity, the number of airline passengers has also increased quite high, ie above 15% for the year 2010 ini.Yang interesting, not only economy-class passengers whose numbers grew. Even the business class passengers also began to increase. That's why Garuda Indonesia to benefit greatly from this increase in GDP per capita.

These developments have led to Soekarno Hatta Airport is very congested for some time past. If you like the government of China that has anticipated the increase in income before long, they become better prepared to do things that are required.

Therefore, when this really needed a quick awareness of governments that USD3.000 per capita income will bring forth a new wave of demand from the public. If the government did not immediately prepare themselves, the private sector will continue to respond to the request, while the existing infrastructure will become very saggy. Although late, it's time for immediate improvement.


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